- 德克萨斯州2026年参议员选举的结果会在5%以内吗？71¢
- 缅因州2026年参议院选举的结果会在5%以内吗？57¢
- 密歇根州2026年参议员选举的结果会在5%以内吗？55¢
- 爱荷华州2026年参议院选举的结果会在5%以内吗？63¢
- 阿拉斯加2026年参议院选举的结果会在5%以内吗？68¢
- 俄亥俄州2026年特别参议院选举的差距会在5%以内吗？70¢
- 2026年新罕布什尔州参议院选举的结果会在5%以内吗？31¢
- 内布拉斯加州2026年参议院选举的差距会在5%以内吗？58¢
- 弗吉尼亚州2026年参议员竞选的得票率差距会在5%以内吗？7¢
- 新墨西哥州2026年参议员选举的胜负差距会在5%以内吗？13¢
- 科罗拉多州2026年参议院选举的胜负差距会在5%以内吗？4¢
- 2026年佛罗里达特别参议院选举的结果会在5%以内吗？33¢
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.