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- 格雷琴·惠特默会赢得2028年民主党总统提名吗？<1¢
- 奥普拉·温弗瑞会赢得2028年民主党总统提名吗？<1¢
- 阿比盖尔·斯潘伯格会赢得2028年民主党总统候选人提名吗？<1¢
- 亚当·希夫会赢得2028年民主党总统提名吗？<1¢
- 安迪·贝希尔是否会赢得2028年民主党总统提名？2¢
- 詹姆斯·塔拉里科会赢得2028年民主党总统提名吗？2¢
- 乔什·斯坦因会赢得2028年民主党总统候选人提名吗？<1¢
- 皮特·布蒂吉格会赢得2028年民主党总统提名吗？5¢
- 乔恩·奥索夫会赢得2028年的民主党总统提名吗？15¢
- 吉娜·雷蒙多会赢得2028年民主党总统提名吗？<1¢
- 亚历克斯·帕迪利亚会赢得2028年民主党总统候选人提名吗？<1¢
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The Democratic presidential nomination field for 2028 remains fragmented more than two years out, with no candidate consolidating broad support and trader probabilities reflecting that dispersion across ideological and geographic lines. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez holds the plurality on the strength of her national profile within the progressive wing and consistent fundraising visibility, while Jon Ossoff and Gavin Newsom sit close behind on the basis of Senate electoral success in a swing state and executive experience in the nation’s largest state. Kamala Harris and other former 2024 figures trail further as attention shifts to newer or regionally anchored names. The race stays tight because midterms, early state polling trends, and potential endorsements have yet to reorder the field, leaving multiple paths open depending on turnout patterns, coalition building, and any late policy or legal developments that could elevate or sideline contenders.