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The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
JD Vance holds the leading position in the 2028 presidential winner market at 23.3 percent amid consistent Republican primary polling advantages of 15–20 points over Secretary of State Marco Rubio, reflecting his status as vice president and strong support among conservative voters. The Democratic field remains fragmented, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 14.1 percent capitalizing on recent primary polling gains in early states like New Hampshire while Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, and Pete Buttigieg trail in both surveys and market pricing. Traders price in the wide-open nature of both nominations two years out, term limits barring a Trump third term, unannounced candidacies, and closely contested general election head-to-heads that currently show narrow margins across multiple matchups.