The high trader consensus on a "Yes" outcome stems primarily from official confirmation of a first-ever trilateral meeting among U.S. President Donald Trump, Chinese President Xi Jinping, and Russian President Vladimir Putin on the sidelines of the APEC summit in Shenzhen, scheduled for mid-November 2026. The White House has announced the gathering, with Beijing acknowledging ongoing communications, and the leaders are expected to appear together for discussions on nuclear non-proliferation and other topics. This event, occurring well before 2027, aligns directly with the market's resolution criteria. While the plans reflect sustained diplomatic engagement between the three powers, realistic factors that could still shift probabilities include last-minute cancellations due to health concerns, unresolved bilateral tensions, or procedural disputes over the meeting format.
如果在本市场创建后至 2026年12月31日 23:59 ET 期间,拍摄到唐纳德·特朗普、弗拉基米尔·普京和习近平同框的照片或视频,则本市场将判定为“是”。否则,本市场将以“否”结算。 要使此市场判定为“是”,照片或视频必须在此市场的时间范围内拍摄并发布。照片或视频必须是真实的,不能是人工智能或视频剪辑的产物。 本市场的判定依据将是唐纳德·特朗普、弗拉基米尔·普京和习近平同框的照片或视频。
机器翻译。如有争议,以原文为准。