- 另類選擇黨（AfD）在2026年梅克倫堡-前波美拉尼亞州選舉中，將以10%或以上的優勢獲勝嗎？2¢
- AfD 是否會以5-10%的差距贏得2026年梅克倫堡-前波美拉尼亞邦選舉？11¢
- 另選擇德國(AfD)在2026年梅克倫堡-前波莫瑞州議會選舉將以2-5%的差距獲勝嗎？20¢
- AfD會以0-2%的差距贏得2026年梅克倫堡-前波美拉尼亞州選舉嗎？27¢
- 社民黨在2026年梅克倫堡－前波美拉尼亞州議會選舉中會以0-2%的優勢勝出嗎？34¢
- 社民黨會以2-5%的優勢贏得2026年梅克倫堡-前波美拉尼亞州選舉嗎？16¢
- 社民黨會以5-10%的優勢贏得2026年梅克倫堡-前波美拉尼亞州選舉嗎？2¢
- 社民黨在2026年梅克倫堡-前波美拉尼亞州選舉中會以10%以上的差距獲勝嗎？1¢
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in the specified election. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by the first-place and second-place parties. Percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the total number of valid second votes cast in the election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the named party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If a party other than AfD or SPD receives the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to "Another party wins". If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Another party wins". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).