- 史蒂芬·A·史密斯會贏得2028年民主黨總統提名嗎？<1¢
- 格雷琴·惠特默會贏得2028年民主黨總統候選人提名嗎？<1¢
- 歐普拉·溫芙蕾會贏得2028年民主黨總統提名嗎？<1¢
- 艾比蓋兒·斯潘伯格會贏得2028年民主黨總統提名嗎？<1¢
- 亞當·希夫會贏得2028年民主黨總統候選人提名嗎？<1¢
- 安迪·貝希爾會贏得2028年民主黨總統提名嗎？2¢
- 詹姆斯·塔拉里科會贏得2028年民主黨總統提名嗎？2¢
- Josh Stein 會贏得2028年民主黨總統候選人提名嗎？<1¢
- 皮特·布塔朱吉會贏得2028年民主黨總統候選人提名嗎？5¢
- 喬恩·奧索夫會贏得2028年民主黨總統提名嗎？15¢
- 吉娜·雷蒙多會贏得2028年民主黨總統提名嗎？<1¢
- 亞歷克斯·帕迪利亞會贏得2028年民主黨總統提名嗎？<1¢
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
A fragmented Democratic field has produced tight prediction market pricing for the 2028 nominee, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 20.6%, Jon Ossoff at 14.8%, and Gavin Newsom at 14.3% on Polymarket as of late August 2026. Trader sentiment reflects AOC’s recent surge in early-state polling (including New Hampshire leads) and national visibility after public comments on party direction, alongside Ossoff’s steady climb despite his stated lack of interest, driven by his Georgia Senate profile and perceived electability. Newsom’s position has eased from earlier highs amid mixed polling. National surveys often show Kamala Harris leading, creating a noted gap with market pricing that favors momentum and younger or alternative profiles over name recognition alone. The 2026 midterms, primary calendar shifts elevating South Carolina, and any candidate announcements or endorsements could widen gaps among the crowded contenders.