- Will Scott Gillingham win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?55¢
- Will Joshua Pagdato win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?<1¢
- Will Mazher Alam win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?2¢
- Will Umar Hayat win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?<1¢
- Will Michael Vogiatzakis win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?4¢
- Will Christopher Clacio win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?<1¢
- Will Don Woodstock win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?6¢
- Will Johnny Calderon win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?1¢
- Will Noah Redden win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?1¢
- Will Zachary Uminski win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?<1¢
The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.
Incumbent Scott Gillingham holds a modest lead in trader pricing for Winnipeg's October 28 mayoral election, reflecting his established profile after winning in 2022 and his focus on transit route changes, affordable housing gains, downtown safety initiatives, and property tax adjustments amid revenue pressures. The broad field remains fragmented, with most registered challengers lacking prior elected experience or significant name recognition, which has kept early campaigning subdued and limited separation among contenders. Kevin Klein's September 1 entry as a former city councillor and provincial cabinet minister introduced the first notable high-profile opposition, prompting immediate exchanges over past controversies and shifting attention toward the race's competitiveness. Low early polling support for Gillingham's re-election and widespread voter concerns over homelessness and addictions continue to cap his implied probability, while the late nomination deadline and modest overall engagement sustain tight odds until clearer momentum emerges closer to voting.