- Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?4¢
Wildberries & Russ (RWB) faces significant financial strain from Ukrainian drone strikes on its warehouses since July 2026, which destroyed an estimated 17-20% of storage capacity and inflicted direct losses exceeding 100 billion rubles, with seller inventory damages reaching 215-280 billion rubles. The company reported strong 2025 results with GMV above 6 trillion rubles and net profit of 175 billion rubles, yet carries over 1.3 trillion rubles in debt. Russian authorities have signaled reluctance to permit collapse of the dominant e-commerce platform, which handles roughly half of national online orders and supports hundreds of thousands of sellers, with ongoing discussions of preferential loans through VTB, tax relief, and support packages. Recent actions include international expansion in Central Asia, seller compensation programs, and operational adaptations such as new logistics pilots, reinforcing trader expectations that state-backed restructuring will avert any bankruptcy filing before 2027.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if RVB LLC, which does business as Wildberries, or any corporate parent, subsidiary, or successor of RVB LLC, announces that it is petitioning or filing for or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs, or if such a filing or petition is rejected, withdrawn, or otherwise not accepted. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents RVB LLC, or through a filing confirmed to be authentic. Announcements that the company is considering bankruptcy, will file depending on the outcome of a subsequent event, or other statements that do not announce that a filing has or will definitively occur will not be sufficient to resolve this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from RVB LLC and its authorized representatives, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.