- Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?5¢
Trump’s measured praise for María Corina Machado without direct endorsement, combined with U.S. engagement with interim President Delcy Rodríguez, underpins the 94% “No” odds. In early October 2026, Trump described Machado as “an excellent woman” and referenced her Nobel gesture but declined to back her return to Venezuela or any leadership role when pressed at the White House. The administration has prioritized a three-phase transition focused on regional security and energy deals with Rodríguez following Maduro’s January 2026 ouster, including a September meeting and major oil arrangements. Machado, sidelined from U.S.-backed talks, has publicly noted timeline differences and endorsed a Trump critic in U.S. midterms, while polls show her leading Venezuelan preferences ahead of potential 2027 elections. These developments signal a pragmatic U.S. approach favoring stability over explicit backing of Machado for the presidency.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses or suggests María Corina Machado as Venezuelan state leader or president by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he would prefer or endorses another individual, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.