- Will gas hit $4.80 (High) by October 31?11¢
- Will gas hit $4.70 (High) by October 31?20¢
- Will gas hit $4.60 (High) by October 31?27¢
- Will gas hit $4.50 (High) by October 31?45¢
- Will gas hit $4.20 (Low) by October 31?44¢
- Will gas hit $4.00 (Low) by October 31?21¢
- Will gas hit $3.80 (Low) by October 31?10¢
U.S. gasoline prices, currently averaging $4.33 per gallon nationally as of mid-October 2026, remain elevated near seasonal records primarily due to crude oil trading near or above $100 per barrel amid geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and tight U.S. inventories running 7% below five-year averages. Strong refining crack spreads have sustained pump prices despite the end of peak summer driving demand, with the EIA forecasting only modest declines through year-end as supply constraints from prior hurricanes and production issues linger. Lower 48 natural gas output has also dipped to around 110.7 bcfd, indirectly supporting energy market sentiment. With just two weeks left in October, traders are monitoring any easing in crude benchmarks or inventory builds that could pressure prices lower before month-end resolution.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and October 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price for options marked ↑ (High), or equal to or below the listed price for options marked ↓ (Low). Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.907, this market will use $3.90 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".