- Will Drake release a new album by October 31?2¢2%
- Will Drake release a new album by December 31?18¢18%
Drake’s recent output shapes current market sentiment around another full studio album by year-end. After teasing Iceman for over a year, he surprised fans with a simultaneous May 15 drop of Iceman, Habibti, and Maid of Honour, which dominated the Billboard 200. October 2 then brought HABIBTI (FOMO), a four-track deluxe expansion from his self-funded short film rather than a standalone project. Recent social media photos have fueled speculation, yet Drake has framed FOMO as cinematic content and publicly confirmed a 2027 world tour, his first major run since 2023. With four projects already released in 2026 and streaming metrics still strong from the spring releases, traders see limited near-term momentum for a distinct new album before December unless a surprise rollout accelerates.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.