- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?4¢4%
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?4¢4%
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?4¢4%
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?5¢5%
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?11¢11%
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?11¢11%
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?13¢13%
Trader consensus around Elon Musk's X activity for October 27–November 3, 2026, clusters in the 220–259 tweet range, reflecting expectations of steady but variable engagement driven by platform management, business updates, and real-time commentary. The tight probabilities across nearby buckets underscore uncertainty over daily fluctuations tied to Tesla or SpaceX milestones, political developments, or personal posting rhythms rather than any single confirmed catalyst. Historical patterns show Musk's output often spikes with news cycles or product news, while quieter periods can pull totals lower, leaving traders weighing these dynamics ahead of the week's close.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 27 12:00 PM ET to November 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.