- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?7¢7%
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?40¢40%
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?41¢41%
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?11¢11%
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?2¢2%
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?<1¢<1%
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?<1¢<1%
Traders see Elon Musk's tweet volume over the October 26-28 window as tightly balanced between the 65-89 and 90-114 ranges because his daily posting rate on X has hovered near 25-35 posts in recent months amid steady engagement with news cycles and company updates. Historical patterns show Musk often ramps up activity around product milestones or public debates, yet the three-day span leaves room for lower output if focus shifts to internal projects or travel. Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, with the near-even split underscoring how last-minute events like regulatory announcements or viral threads could push totals higher or keep them contained. Upcoming weekend dynamics and any breaking developments in tech or politics remain the key swing factors traders are watching.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 26 12:00 PM ET to October 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.