Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
- Will António Guterres visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?46¢
- Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?5¢
- Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?4¢
- Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?64¢
- Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?68¢
- Will António Costa visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?90¢
- Will Donald Tusk visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?73¢
- Will Maia Sandu visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?91¢
- Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?81¢
- Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?93¢
- Will Keith Kellogg visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?83¢
- Will Emmanuel Macron visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?64¢
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Diplomatic momentum around Ukraine's security guarantees and ongoing peace negotiations continues to shape trader assessments for visits by key figures through year-end. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and Council President António Costa traveled to Kyiv in February for the fourth anniversary of the full-scale invasion, joining a Coalition of the Willing meeting with President Zelenskyy. UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer made a July trip during his final weeks in office to discuss military support, while U.S. congressional leaders conducted oversight visits in June. U.S. envoys and administration officials remain central to trader pricing given their roles in bilateral talks, with recent Zelenskyy meetings abroad highlighting active shuttle diplomacy. Scheduled summits and potential follow-up visits by European and North American counterparts could still influence remaining probabilities before December 31.