- Will Donald Trump attend King Harald V's funeral?3¢
- Will King Charles III attend King Harald V's funeral?52¢
- Will Andy Burnham attend King Harald V's funeral?8¢
- Will Friedrich Merz attend King Harald V's funeral?6¢
- Will Mette Frederiksen attend King Harald V's funeral?50¢
- Will Volodymyr Zelensky attend King Harald V's funeral?48¢
- Will Barack Obama attend King Harald V's funeral?7¢
- Will Erling Haaland attend King Harald V's funeral?13¢
- Will King Frederik X attend King Harald V's funeral?97¢
- Will King Willem-Alexander attend King Harald V's funeral?95¢
- Will King Philippe attend King Harald V's funeral?95¢
- Will Crown Prince Fumihito attend King Harald V's funeral?97¢
The state funeral of King Harald V of Norway has been scheduled for 1:00 PM CEST on September 9, 2026, at Oslo Cathedral in Oslo, Norway. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends King Harald V's funeral. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the funeral is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
King Harald V of Norway died on August 28, 2026, at age 89 after hospitalization for a bacterial infection, prompting immediate succession by his son as King Haakon VIII and the scheduling of a state funeral for September 9 at Oslo Cathedral. The event has drawn strong trader consensus around expected high-profile attendees, driven by confirmed royal participation from neighboring monarchies and standard protocol for European state funerals. Danish King Frederik X and Queen Mary, Dutch King Willem-Alexander and Queen Máxima with Princess Beatrix, Swedish King Carl XVI Gustaf and Queen Silvia, and Japanese Crown Prince Akishino have all been publicly confirmed or widely reported as attending, reflecting longstanding Nordic and international royal ties. Norwegian Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre and other senior officials face near-certain attendance as part of the official proceedings, while the short timeline to the ceremony limits last-minute shifts. Markets reflect this through elevated implied probabilities for verified invitees, tempered by the inherent uncertainty around private or unannounced guests in a ceremonial setting.