Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?

PoliticsElectionsVenezuelaGeopoliticsWorld
Start Date
2026-01-03
End Date
2026-12-31
24h Volume
$23
Total Volume
$615K
  • Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?16¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Following Nicolás Maduro’s capture by U.S. forces in early 2026, Venezuela’s Supreme Tribunal installed Vice President Delcy Rodríguez as acting president, leaving the timing of the next presidential election unresolved under the 1999 constitution’s six-year term rules. The National Assembly leadership has prioritized national stabilization over immediate voting, explicitly ruling out elections in the near term as of February 2026. International actors, including the United States, and domestic opposition groups continue pressing for a negotiated political pact that addresses electoral reforms, voter registry updates, CNE independence, and monitoring before any date is set. These developments have kept market focus on whether institutional and diplomatic conditions can align for a scheduled vote within standard constitutional windows or require extended transitional arrangements.