- Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30?98¢98%
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 31?90¢90%
Trump’s February 2026 directive launched the PURSUE program directing federal agencies to identify and release previously classified UAP records on a rolling basis. The Department of War has already issued six tranches between May and September 2026 containing hundreds of documents, videos, and historical files from multiple agencies. In mid-October interviews, Trump stated the administration is “releasing everything” while describing the topic as lower priority and referencing pilot accounts of high-speed objects. Former UAP Task Force director Jay Stratton publicly stated on October 12 that the president may still lack access to the full picture. These established release mechanisms, combined with ongoing bureaucratic reviews and no announced pause, shape trader assessments of near-term additional declassifications.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market’s timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.