- Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Lieutenant Governor election?72¢
- Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Lieutenant Governor election?30¢
Incumbent Republican Dan Patrick holds a substantial edge in trader consensus for the Texas lieutenant governor race due to his long tenure since 2015, strong primary performance, and overwhelming fundraising advantage exceeding $24 million in cash on hand compared to Democrat Vikki Goodwin’s roughly $643,000. Recent October 2026 polling shows a tighter contest than historical norms, with some surveys placing Goodwin within a few points or slightly ahead amid broader Democratic momentum in statewide races, though Patrick maintains leads among key demographics such as rural, suburban, and higher-income voters. Early voting begins October 19 ahead of the November 3 general election, where minor-party candidates including Libertarian and Green nominees factor into the multi-candidate field.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Texas Lieutenant Governor election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.