- Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?57¢
- Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?39¢
- Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?25¢
- Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?2¢
- Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?3¢
- Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?2¢
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ted Cruz maintains one of the highest X posting rates among U.S. senators, with historical annual totals exceeding 9,000 posts and daily averages often in the 20–27 range during active periods. The 160–179 and 180–199 ranges lead trader consensus because they align with his established baseline output for a seven-day window, reinforced by elevated activity tied to the August 25 release of his book Going Further on Justice Clarence Thomas. Recent posts from August 27–28 focus on book promotion, interviews, and commentary on topics including constitutional issues and current events, sustaining volume without evident disruption from Senate proceedings or external events. Lower ranges like 140–159 reflect possible moderation, while 200+ remains a low-probability outlier absent major catalysts.