- Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by December 31, 2026?14¢14%
- Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by March 31, 2027?26¢26%
Recent developments center on the October 30, 2026, suspension of Bogdan Święczkowski as Constitutional Tribunal President by judge Anna Korwin-Piotrowska, who cited seniority and procedural rules to assume interim leadership and bar him and his deputy from duties for one month. Święczkowski and President Karol Nawrocki reject the action as illegitimate, with Nawrocki cutting short a Senegal trip to return to Warsaw amid protests, police deployments, and accusations of a constitutional breach. The move stems from a prolonged standoff over the status of judges elected by the Sejm majority but not sworn in by Nawrocki, plus Święczkowski’s prior refusal to seat them. Justice Minister Waldemar Żurek has filed immunity-lifting requests, while a judges’ assembly is scheduled for November 3. These factors shape trader views on reinstatement prospects through court rulings, executive intervention, or further institutional confrontation.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bogdan Święczkowski is reinstated as President of the Constitutional Tribunal of Poland by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If Bogdan Święczkowski is otherwise permanently removed from office, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify as reinstated, Święczkowski must officially regain his powers as President of the Constitutional Tribunal and no longer be suspended from office. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Government of Poland, specifically the Constitutional Tribunal, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.