- Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?27¢27%
- Will Tucker Carlson be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?23¢23%
- Will Rand Paul be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?13¢13%
- Will Pete Hegseth be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?9¢9%
- Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?7¢7%
- Will Katie Britt be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?7¢7%
- Will Thomas Massie be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?7¢7%
- Will Brian Kemp be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?7¢7%
- Will Elon Musk be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?6¢6%
- Will J.D. Vance be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?5¢5%
- Will Donald Trump Jr. be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?4¢4%
- Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?3¢3%
Recent Republican setbacks in the 2026 midterms have heightened uncertainty over the 2028 presidential nominee, keeping the vice-presidential field fragmented among figures with distinct profiles. Marco Rubio leads at 27% due to his Senate tenure, foreign-policy role, and broad party appeal, while Tucker Carlson sits at 23.7% from strong media influence within conservative circles. Brian Kemp and Rand Paul follow with executive and libertarian credentials that attract specific blocs. No single contender has consolidated support, as traders weigh Senate confirmation patterns, primary dynamics, and potential ticket-balancing needs. Upcoming legislative sessions, early primary signals, or explicit endorsements from party leaders could shift probabilities by clarifying alignments or highlighting electability gaps.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.