Next Prime Minister of Sweden
- Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?<1¢
- Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?85¢
- Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?<1¢
- Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?<1¢
- Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?2¢
- Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?<1¢
- Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?<1¢
- Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?13¢
- Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?<1¢
- Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?<1¢
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent polling trends ahead of Sweden’s September 13 general election position Magdalena Andersson as the clear frontrunner for prime minister, with her Social Democrats and the broader left-leaning bloc maintaining a steady lead of roughly seven to ten points over the incumbent right-wing coalition. This gap, reflected in surveys through early August, underpins the trader consensus assigning her an 84.5% implied probability, as the Riksdag’s post-election government formation process has historically favored the largest bloc. Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson’s Moderate Party and its Tidö partners trail in most measurements, limiting his odds to 13%, while smaller-party leaders such as Jimmie Åkesson register minimal support consistent with their parliamentary sizes. No major late shifts have altered these fundamentals in recent weeks.