- Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?<1¢<1%
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?>99¢>99%
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?<1¢<1%
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?<1¢<1%
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?<1¢<1%
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?<1¢<1%
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 60 million views on day 1?<1¢<1%
- Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?<1¢<1%
MrBeast’s consistent track record of videos debuting in the 30-35 million view range on day one underpins the overwhelming trader consensus around that bucket. His massive subscriber base, aggressive promotional cycles, and YouTube algorithm favoritism reliably drive initial spikes, with recent releases showing similar first-day performance amid steady audience engagement. Historical patterns for his signature challenge and stunt content reinforce expectations that the next upload will land squarely in this band unless an atypical variable emerges. An upset would require a marked departure such as a significantly shorter runtime, reduced pre-release hype, or an unforeseen platform shift that suppresses early visibility.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.