- Robert Pattinson announced as next James Bond?43¢43%
- Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?29¢29%
- Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?18¢18%
- No one announced as next James Bond?6¢6%
- Nicholas Hoult announced as next James Bond?3¢3%
- Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?2¢2%
- Theo James announced as next James Bond?<1¢<1%
- Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?<1¢<1%
- Tom Francis announced as next James Bond?<1¢<1%
- Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?<1¢<1%
- Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?<1¢<1%
- Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?<1¢<1%
25%43.3%Robert Pattinson$99.2k Vol.
4%28.6%Callum Turner$249.7k Vol.
13%17.9%Jack Lowden$429k Vol.- 3%6.2%No Bond chosen$711.6k Vol.
3.4%Nicholas Hoult$49.5k Vol.
2%2.1%Josh O'Connor$110.8k Vol.
0.5%Theo James$78.1k Vol.
0.3%Jack Barton$108.5k Vol.
0.2%Tom Francis$73k Vol.
0.2%Aaron Taylor-Johnson$74.1k Vol.
0.2%Jacob Elordi$76.4k Vol.
0.2%Henry Cavill$48.9k Vol.
Recent reports detailing Robert Pattinson’s preferential contract terms—higher pay and a three-film commitment versus four for rivals—have elevated him to clear frontrunner status in the casting process for the next Bond film under Denis Villeneuve. Traders have responded to these insider details from Puck, which follow Pattinson’s late addition to screen tests alongside established contenders Callum Turner and Jack Lowden, whose earlier auditions and industry buzz had previously narrowed the field. Nicholas Hoult and Josh O’Connor remain in the mix at lower implied probabilities after their own tests, while the market reflects uncertainty ahead of an expected announcement by year’s end. This dynamic underscores how deal structure and timing shape aggregated trader sentiment in high-profile franchise casting.
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.