- Will MrBeast's next video get less than 15 million views on day 1?<1¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 15 and 20 million views on day 1?4¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?11¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?30¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?26¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?22¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?13¢
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Recent MrBeast challenge videos, such as "Escape 100 Cops" and "Last To Leave Mansion," have posted first-day views clustered in the mid-to-high 20 millions before accelerating, reflecting his 515 million subscriber base, high-budget spectacle formats, and algorithm-optimized packaging that drives initial clicks. Traders appear to price in this steady momentum from consistent Saturday releases while accounting for variability tied to topic hype, thumbnail performance, and competition from shorter-form content or external events. Upcoming catalysts include the next scheduled long-form drop and any teaser momentum on social platforms that could push toward the 35 million-plus tier or cap it lower if retention signals soften early.