- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 11m?<1¢
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?<1¢
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?<1¢
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m?<1¢
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?9¢
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office be at least 15m?91¢
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 6th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Spider-Man: Brand New Day maintains overwhelming market consensus for a sixth-weekend domestic gross above $15 million, driven by its record $360 million opening, consistent number-one positioning through five weekends, and resilient audience hold. After posting $22.5 million in its fifth frame (Aug. 28-30) with a -42% drop, the film has already banked nearly $896 million domestically and $2.34 billion worldwide while earning strong critical marks (90% on Rotten Tomatoes) and broad family appeal. Labor Day weekend timing provides an additional tailwind, as holiday periods historically lift holdovers. Trader positioning reflects this sustained momentum and limited near-term competition. An upset below $15 million would require an unusually steep drop—far exceeding recent patterns—or a major external disruption such as sudden theater reductions or unforeseen rival strength, scenarios that appear improbable given the film’s demonstrated legs and cultural staying power.