- Will MrBeast's next video get between 121 and 123 million views on day 5?<1¢<1%
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 123 and 125 million views on day 5?>99¢>99%
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the 121-123 million view bracket for the latest MrBeast video at the 120-hour mark, with 66% implied probability, followed by the adjacent 123-125 million range at 40%. This positioning stems from the video’s documented early trajectory, where initial algorithmic push and subscriber-driven spikes have produced consistent daily increments that align with historical patterns for mid-tier MrBeast challenges. View accumulation typically front-loads 60% or more of total day-five views within the first 48 hours before tapering sharply, and current tracking data through day four supports a narrow outcome band around 122 million. Upcoming chart updates and any final-hour platform adjustments remain the key swing factors, though the tight spread between the two leading outcomes underscores limited room for late surprises.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 120 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 120 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration. Note: This market refers only to the video "Lose 150 Lbs Together, Win $250,000" by MrBeast (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RE3_PGwDwhw).