- Will MrBeast's next video get less than 64.0 million views on day 6?<1¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 64.0 and 64.5 million views on day 6?<1¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 64.5 and 65.0 million views on day 6?<1¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 65.0 and 65.5 million views on day 6?<1¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 65.5 and 66.0 million views on day 6?<1¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 66.0 and 66.5 million views on day 6?<1¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 66.5 and 67.0 million views on day 6?2¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get at least 67 million views on day 6?98¢
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 144 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 144 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to the video titled "Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
MrBeast’s “Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000” challenge video, uploaded August 22, has demonstrated the rapid, sustained view velocity typical of his high-stakes long-form content, pushing the market-implied probability for 67 million-plus views by day six (144 hours) to 98%. Traders cite the creator’s 514 million subscribers, strong algorithmic amplification on YouTube, and consistent daily growth patterns seen in prior releases like “Last To Leave Mansion,” which reliably accumulate tens of millions more views in the 48–144-hour window. The video’s early watch time and cross-platform shares further anchor this consensus. An upset below 67 million would require an abrupt slowdown in hourly gains, a major platform change, or competing cultural events, none of which align with recent performance data.