- Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?<1¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?4¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?19¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?37¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?21¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?14¢
- Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?11¢
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Recent MrBeast uploads have trended toward more moderate first-week totals amid broader 2026 viewership softening, positioning the 60-70M bracket as the market's clearest favorite at 36.5% implied probability. Videos from the past two months have posted totals in the mid-50M to low-90M range shortly after release, reflecting a noticeable pullback from prior peaks above 100M in the opening week and first-day debuts that occasionally dipped below 40M. Channel momentum remains anchored by 512 million subscribers and evergreen long-term accumulation, yet trader consensus appears to factor in audience fatigue, shifting content formats, and sustained lower opening velocity compared with 2024-2025 benchmarks. The 70-80M and 50-60M outcomes sit close behind, capturing the narrow band where most recent releases have ultimately landed once seven-day view counts lock in. No major upcoming release date or promotional shift has yet altered this clustering.