- Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 40 and 50 million views on day 1?16¢
- Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 50 and 60 million views on day 1?14¢
- Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 60 and 70 million views on day 1?25¢
- Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 70 and 80 million views on day 1?14¢
- Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 80 and 90 million views on day 1?26¢
- Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 90 and 100 million views on day 1?20¢
- Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get at least 100 million views on day 1?12¢
- Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 40 million views on day 1?13¢
This market will resolve according to the number of views the Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look video gets in the first 24 hours after being posted on the Rockstar Games YouTube channel. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If Rockstar Games does not post the video by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is Rockstar Games' YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@RockstarGames), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: Only the first "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" video released by Rockstar Games will count towards this market's resolution. If multiple Extended Look videos are posted simultaneously, this market will resolve according to the number of views on the most viewed of the simultaneously released videos. Any subsequent videos released later that same day, or shorts, previews, or other non-"Extended Look" videos will not be considered.
The staggered Netflix premiere of the 26-minute GTA VI: An Extended Look gameplay showcase on August 27, followed by the Rockstar YouTube drop six hours later, creates the central uncertainty behind the tightly bunched market-implied odds. Previous trailers set high benchmarks—Trailer 1 hit 93 million YouTube views in 24 hours and Trailer 2 reached roughly 84 million on the platform despite massive all-platform totals—but this extended, in-game footage format (captured on base PS5) differs substantially from short cinematic reveals, potentially altering completion rates and repeat views. Strong pre-release hype, near-term November 19 launch momentum, and ongoing community leaks fuel expectations for robust YouTube numbers once available, yet the timed exclusivity window introduces a meaningful variable that traders appear to weigh heavily across the 60-90 million ranges.