- Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?43¢
- Will Carleigh Beriont be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?2¢
- Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?56¢
- Will Heath Howard be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?2¢
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Stefany Shaheen holds a narrow lead in trader consensus for the September 8 Democratic primary in New Hampshire’s 1st District, supported by strong name recognition as the daughter of retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, local government experience, and endorsements from labor and establishment groups. Maura Sullivan has narrowed the gap through superior fundraising exceeding $3 million, veteran credentials, and endorsements such as VoteVets, while recent Saint Anselm and UNH polls show the two essentially tied in the low-to-mid 20s amid more than 30% undecided. Negative ads from both campaigns on donors and family ties have intensified the contest, though minor candidates like Carleigh Beriont and Heath Howard remain distant in both polling and market pricing.