- Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?79¢
- Will Alexis Tsipras be the next Prime Minister of Greece?8¢
- Will Nikos Androulakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?6¢
- Will Maria Karystianou be the next Prime Minister of Greece?<1¢
- Will Kyriakos Velopoulos be the next Prime Minister of Greece?3¢
- Will Dimitris Koutsoumbas be the next Prime Minister of Greece?5¢
- Will Zoe Konstantopoulou be the next Prime Minister of Greece?<1¢
- Will Afroditi Latinopoulou be the next Prime Minister of Greece?5¢
- Will Stefanos Kasselakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?<1¢
- Will Yanis Varoufakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?5¢
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be the next Prime Minister of Greece?3¢
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Greece following the next parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in by the specified date. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Greek government.
Kyriakos Mitsotakis holds the strongest position in the market due to New Democracy’s consistent lead in recent Greek polls, his repeated selection as the preferred prime minister in surveys measuring suitability to govern, and the party’s incumbency advantage ahead of the scheduled 2027 parliamentary election. Fresh August 2026 polling shows ND at roughly 26.5 percent with a double-digit edge over Alexis Tsipras’s new ELAS party, while Mitsotakis personally outperforms other named contenders on direct trust questions. Fragmented opposition support, voter fatigue with alternatives, and Mitsotakis’s firm commitment to completing the term without early elections reinforce trader consensus around his continued role. Lower probabilities for figures such as Tsipras, Nikos Androulakis, and others reflect limited polling traction and structural barriers to forming a majority government.