- Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?71¢71%
- Will Alexis Tsipras be the next Prime Minister of Greece?8¢8%
- Will Nikos Androulakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?3¢3%
- Will Kyriakos Velopoulos be the next Prime Minister of Greece?3¢3%
- Will Maria Karystianou be the next Prime Minister of Greece?3¢3%
- Will Dimitris Koutsoumbas be the next Prime Minister of Greece?3¢3%
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be the next Prime Minister of Greece?3¢3%
- Will Yanis Varoufakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?2¢2%
- Will Afroditi Latinopoulou be the next Prime Minister of Greece?2¢2%
- Will Zoe Konstantopoulou be the next Prime Minister of Greece?2¢2%
- Will Stefanos Kasselakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?2¢2%
Kyriakos Mitsotakis leads the market at 68% as the incumbent New Democracy leader following his party's strong but inconclusive performance in the recent Greek parliamentary election, where it secured a large plurality yet fell short of an absolute majority under the proportional system. Traders price in his strong position ahead of the expected repeat vote, supported by polling showing New Democracy ahead and Mitsotakis as the preferred choice for prime minister amid ongoing negotiations and a caretaker administration. Lower-priced outcomes such as Maria Karystianou at 8.5%, Alexis Tsipras at 8.1%, and Nikos Androulakis at 7.9% reflect fragmented opposition support, with Karystianou's "Hope for Democracy" party drawing limited backing tied to the Tempi rail crash accountability movement. Other listed figures remain in single digits due to weaker polling and coalition challenges in Greece's multiparty system.
Rules
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Greece following the next parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in by the specified date. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Greek government.