- Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?15¢
- Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?11¢
- Will Sol Zanetti be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?<1¢
- Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?<1¢
- Will Éric Duhaime be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?<1¢
- Will Ruba Ghazal be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?<1¢
- Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?73¢
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads the market at 72% because the Parti Québécois has held a consistent polling advantage ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election, with recent surveys placing the party near 30% support. Incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec Premier Christine Fréchette trails at 15% amid the party's decline from prior highs, despite her April 2026 leadership win and swearing-in. Liberal leader Charles Milliard sits at 10.5% as the main challenger following his February acclamation, though he lacks a National Assembly seat. Trader consensus reflects the Parti Québécois's stronger positioning in vote intention data and path to forming government, while other candidates remain marginal.