- Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?100¢100%
- Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?0¢0%
- Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?0¢0%
- Will Sol Zanetti be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?0¢0%
- Will Éric Duhaime be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?0¢0%
- Will Ruba Ghazal be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?0¢0%
- Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?0¢0%
- Will someone else be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?0¢0%
- Will Person A be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?0¢0%
- Will Person B be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?0¢0%
- Will Person C be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?0¢0%
- Will Person D be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?0¢0%
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon's commanding position reflects the Parti Québécois victory in the October 5, 2026, Quebec provincial election, where the party secured 59 seats to form a minority government and end eight years of Coalition Avenir Québec rule. The outcome followed consistent polling leads for the PQ through the campaign, driven by voter shifts away from the incumbent CAQ amid economic pressures and dissatisfaction with prior governance. Transition discussions with outgoing Premier Christine Fréchette have advanced, with the new cabinet expected to be sworn in by October 21. While a minority legislature could face stability tests or early dissolution in the coming months, no verified developments as of mid-October point to changes in leadership before Plamondon formally assumes the premiership.
Rules
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.