- Will Aliyu Wadada Ahmed win the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election?68¢
- Will Emmanuel David Ombugadu win the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election?17¢
- Will Nuhu Angbazo win the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election?3¢
- Will Gbefwi Gaza Jonathan win the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election?6¢
- Will Mohammed Abubakar Adamu win the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election?<1¢
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nasarawa State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nasarawa State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Governor Abdullahi Sule’s public endorsement of Senator Ahmed Aliyu Wadada as the All Progressives Congress (APC) consensus candidate for the 2027 Nasarawa governorship, combined with Wadada’s decisive May 2026 primary victory, has consolidated trader support around the APC nominee. Sule described Wadada as embodying the administration’s inclusive “Muje Maha” approach after extensive consultations with stakeholders, traditional rulers, investors, and party structures across the three senatorial zones. Recent developments reinforcing this positioning include ethnic-group endorsements (such as the Agatu United for Wadada on August 30), youth and traditional-ruler backing, and INEC’s late-August publication of the candidate list confirming Wadada on the APC ticket. Opposition nominees, including PDP’s Emmanuel David Ombugadu (selected via consensus) and others from smaller parties, trail in visibility and institutional support. Market pricing reflects the APC’s incumbency advantage, primary outcome, and early coalition-building in a contest still more than a year away, with zoning considerations and party defections adding residual uncertainty.