- Will the Republicans win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?68¢
- Will the Democrats win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?28¢
Mike Rogers holds a clear edge in trader consensus for carrying Macomb County in the 2026 Michigan Senate race, reflecting the county’s recent polling margins and its suburban voter profile. A late-October survey showed Rogers ahead 48% to 43% among likely voters there, consistent with broader patterns where he performs competitively in Oakland and Macomb while trailing in Wayne County. The overall statewide contest remains tight, with Abdul El-Sayed holding narrow leads in most recent public polls and a slight edge in polling averages, but Macomb’s results have historically favored Republicans in comparable cycles. With Election Day on November 3 and limited undecided voters, county-level turnout among working-class and older demographics continues to shape assessments of the local outcome.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Macomb County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Macomb County.