- Will FW win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?<1¢
- Will BSW win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?<1¢
- Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?32¢
- Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?<1¢
- Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?<1¢
- Will SPD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?<1¢
- Will FDP win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?<1¢
- Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?68¢
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Recent polling for the September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election shows AfD leading with approximately 36 percent, followed by SPD near 29 percent. Die Linke holds steady around 11 percent in third, narrowly ahead of CDU at 10 percent, while Grüne, BSW, and FDP remain below or near the 5 percent threshold. These consistent survey results from INSA and Infratest dimap through mid-August have reinforced trader consensus on Linke finishing third, with CDU viewed as the main alternative. Smaller parties show negligible prospects of reaching that position given current vote-share projections and the absence of major shifts in recent weeks.