- Will CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?<1¢
- Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?11¢
- Will Grüne win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?<1¢
- Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?88¢
- Will FDP win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?<1¢
- Will Linke win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?<1¢
- Will FW win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?<1¢
- Will BSW win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?<1¢
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Recent polls position the SPD as the clear second-place finisher behind the leading AfD in the September 20 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election. The latest Infratest dimap survey gives the SPD 32 percent and the AfD 35 percent, narrowing a prior gap, while the Linke trails at 11 percent, the CDU at 8 percent, and the Grüne and BSW hover near or below the 5 percent threshold. Earlier Forsa and INSA results show the same ordering, with the SPD gaining modestly over recent months amid stable AfD support and limited movement among smaller parties. Traders appear to view these consistent survey trends and the short time remaining as strong evidence that the SPD will secure second place, reflected in the elevated market probability for that outcome.