- Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?15¢15%
Masoud Pezeshkian remains Iran's president as of late October 2026, actively chairing cabinet meetings, conducting diplomatic travel, and addressing energy and security issues. Following the February 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the subsequent selection of Mojtaba Khamenei, Pezeshkian participated briefly in an interim leadership council before focusing on domestic and economic matters while the IRGC assumed greater influence over security decisions. Recent statements emphasize implementing the new Leader's directive to resolve the prolonged "neither war nor peace" posture amid ongoing U.S. and Israeli strikes, sanctions, and regional tensions. No verified reports indicate resignation, impeachment proceedings, or health-related exit risks in the immediate term. Upcoming scheduled events such as further multilateral summits and domestic policy implementation could shape perceptions of his tenure stability, though constitutional processes for presidential removal require specific institutional actions.
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.