- Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?<1¢
- Will Khamenei post 40-44 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?<1¢
- Will Khamenei post 50-54 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?<1¢
- Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?<1¢
- Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?<1¢
- Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?<1¢
- Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?>99¢
- Will Khamenei post 45-49 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?<1¢
- Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?<1¢
- Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?<1¢
- Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?<1¢
- Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?<1¢
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Iran’s supreme leadership under Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei maintains a historically low frequency of direct X activity, favoring occasional written statements and official channels over regular posting. Associated accounts, including @khamenei_ir, concentrated recent output on mid-August commemorative material tied to the 40th-day observances for the late leader, without evidence of elevated volume afterward. No major diplomatic summits, military escalations, domestic milestones, or crises fall within the narrow August 21–28 resolution window that would typically trigger additional official statements. Trader pricing for fewer than five posts therefore aligns with this established pattern of event-driven, restrained communication. Sudden regional developments or health-related announcements could still prompt incremental activity before the window closes.