- Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?86¢
- Will Chuang Ching-cheng win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?4¢
- Will Ho Chih-yung win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?3¢
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Ann Kao, the incumbent independent running for re-election as Hsinchu City mayor, holds an 86% implied probability in the Polymarket market ahead of the November 28, 2026, local elections. She benefits from KMT backing under a pan-opposition agreement, strong polling leads (including 55-21% margins in recent surveys against the DPP nominee), and her high-tech background aligning with the city’s educated electorate. The DPP’s Chuang Ching-cheng and independent Ho Chih-yung trail at low single-digit probabilities after candidate registration closed on September 4. Kao’s position stems from her 2025 reinstatement following acquittal on major corruption charges, sustained popularity despite a prior suspension, and the absence of a competitive KMT challenger, leaving limited room for late shifts before election day.