- Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.50 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?>99¢>99%
- Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.25 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?38¢38%
- Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?26¢26%
- Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $1.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?18¢18%
Persistent AI training and inference demand, combined with constrained supply of newer Blackwell GPUs, has driven recent upward pressure on H100 rental rates. As of late October 2026, on-demand medians sit near $3.5–$3.8 per GPU-hour across specialist clouds, with hyperscalers charging substantially more; spot and reserved options trade lower. NVIDIA’s ongoing supply bottlenecks through at least early 2028, plus higher memory and server costs, have kept H100 competitive for cost-sensitive workloads even as B200/B300 availability remains limited and priced at premiums. Analysts expect H100 averages to hold above $2.60 into March 2027 before potential relief from broader Rubin deployments. Traders should watch Blackwell ramp rates, hyperscaler capacity releases, and any shifts in large-model developer spending patterns for near-term catalysts.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H100 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.