- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?18¢
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?4¢
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?3¢
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?6¢
- Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?2¢
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?6¢
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?18¢
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?14¢
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?4¢
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 8 12:00 PM ET to September 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trader consensus for Elon Musk’s September 8–15, 2026 tweet volume centers on the 160–239 range because recent weekly settlements show a moderating pace after August’s elevated activity. The prior week (Aug 28–Sep 4) resolved at 220–239, while earlier stretches landed in lower brackets like 160–179 or even 40–64 during quieter periods, producing the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the mid-100s to low-200s. Musk’s baseline of roughly 30–40 posts per day can shift quickly with platform updates, business developments at Tesla or xAI, or political commentary, yet no major scheduled catalysts appear in the immediate window. This leaves the market sensitive to day-to-day engagement swings rather than a single overriding narrative, keeping several neighboring brackets competitively priced.