- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?5¢
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?24¢
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?48¢
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?26¢
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?<1¢
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 5 12:00 PM ET to September 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Elon Musk’s recent X activity has settled into a moderate rhythm, with multiple resolved weekly markets landing in the 40–64 range and recent daily averages hovering around 7–8 posts amid a quieter political backdrop following his DOGE involvement. For the three-day Labor Day weekend window, traders see the 40–64 bracket as the consensus outcome because historical patterns show reduced volume on weekends absent major Tesla, SpaceX, or platform news cycles, while the 65–89 and sub-40 bins capture plausible upside from Cybercab or Starlink announcements and downside from typical holiday slowdowns. Current implied probabilities reflect this balance, with higher brackets priced low given the absence of sustained controversy or product launches expected to drive 20-plus daily posts.