- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?20¢
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?46¢
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?7¢
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?26¢
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?<1¢
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 10 12:00 PM ET to September 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Elon Musk's recent posting cadence, including multiple short periods settling under 40 tweets and weekly totals often landing in the 40-89 range during quieter stretches, underpins trader consensus favoring the 40-64 bracket for the three-day window at 44.5% implied probability. With no major political controversies, Tesla launches, or high-stakes announcements expected to accelerate activity, markets price moderate daily output around 13-21 posts as the baseline. Historical volatility from events like policy debates or platform updates explains why 65-89 holds secondary support at 29.5%, while sub-40 remains plausible if engagement stays subdued. Upcoming chart updates and any late-breaking X-related news could shift momentum before the period closes.