- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?17¢
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?45¢
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?24¢
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?3¢
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?3¢
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?8¢
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?5¢
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 29 12:00 PM ET to August 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Weekend timing anchors trader expectations for a subdued posting window. With August 29–31 falling across a holiday weekend, historical patterns show Elon Musk’s activity drops notably—recent data peg weekend daily averages well below weekday peaks of 30–50+ posts—pushing the 40–64 bracket to the 44.5% market lead. The prior three-day stretch (Aug 24–26) settled exactly in that range, reinforcing the precedent for lighter volume when business and news cycles slow. While spikes remain possible from real-time developments, the current implied odds reflect trader consensus that the short holiday period is unlikely to match high-volume weeks, with the next tier (65–89) trailing at 23.5%.