- Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?14¢14%
- Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 90m?20¢20%
- Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 110m?14¢14%
- Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 110m and 130m?13¢13%
- Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 130m?47¢47%
Strong advance ticket sales are anchoring trader confidence in a 130M+ domestic opening for Dune: Part Three, which holds the highest implied probability at 56%. The Denis Villeneuve-directed conclusion has already surpassed $25 million in North American presales with 48 days to go, outpacing Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey at the same stage and fueling projections of $120 million or higher. Premium-format demand, including rapid sellouts for IMAX 70mm screenings and a new first-day record at London’s BFI IMAX, underscores the franchise’s theatrical appeal. The December 18 release faces direct competition from Avengers: Doomsday, yet current tracking still points to a franchise-best debut. A final trailer released in late October has added to the buzz ahead of the holiday frame.
Rules
This market will resolve according to how much "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If "Dune: Part Three" is not released, or there is no final data available, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.