- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?1¢
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?12¢
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?<1¢
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?<1¢
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?<1¢
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?<1¢
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?15¢
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?76¢
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trump’s established Truth Social activity patterns strongly favor the 200+ outcome in this eight-day window. Historical data through late August 2026 show him averaging 19–24 posts per day, with frequent spikes above 40 in short periods and late-night or repost surges that push daily totals higher. Ongoing developments, including announcements on Venezuela energy deals, Canada tariffs, midterm endorsements, and residual Iran-related commentary, continue to generate content. These factors align with the current trader consensus reflected in the 76% probability for 200+, as comparable recent weeks have routinely exceeded that threshold amid routine presidential communications and external events. Lower brackets remain discounted due to the absence of any sustained slowdown in posting volume.