DE-AL House Election Winner

PoliticsElectionsUS ElectionMidtermsNov 4 ElectionsHouse ElectionsDelaware Midterm
Start Date
2026-01-28
End Date
2026-11-03
24h Volume
$6K
Total Volume
$29K
  • Will the Democratic Party win the DE-AL House seat?95¢
  • Will the Republican Party win the DE-AL House seat?6¢

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Incumbent Democratic Representative Sarah McBride faces no primary opposition ahead of the September 15 primary and holds a substantial fundraising edge in Delaware’s at-large district, a consistently Democratic stronghold where she won election in 2024 by double digits. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe for Democrats, reflecting the state’s partisan lean and limited Republican organizational strength, with several GOP primary contenders and at least one prior nominee withdrawal. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. A late national political shift, unexpected primary surprise, or major candidate-specific development could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though such scenarios lack current evidence of momentum.