Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Iliana Iotova's position as acting president since January 2026, following Rumen Radev's resignation, combined with endorsements from the Bulgarian Socialist Party and Progressive Bulgaria in late July, has solidified trader consensus around her strong lead. Recent polling in early August showed her approval near 50 percent, reflecting continuity in a fragmented political landscape ahead of the October 25 vote. Andrey Gyurov, whom she appointed as caretaker prime minister earlier this year, holds the main challenger spot due to his prior visibility in the executive role, though support remains secondary. Other listed candidates, including former officials like Nikolai Denkov and Boyko Borissov, register minimal probabilities given limited announced bids or party momentum at this stage. The two-month timeline leaves room for shifts tied to formal nominations or coalition alignments.