- Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 260m?8¢8%
- Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 300m?7¢7%
- Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 340m?9¢9%
- Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 360m?19¢19%
- Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 400m?40¢40%
- Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 400m?26¢26%
Strong presales momentum, now exceeding $125 million worldwide and $65 million domestically with roughly 48 days until release, anchors trader confidence in a blockbuster domestic debut for Avengers: Doomsday. The Russo brothers’ multiverse ensemble—featuring Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, returning stars like Chris Evans and Chris Hemsworth, the Fantastic Four, and X-Men cast members—drives exceptional advance demand, with heavy emphasis on premium large-format tickets. This positions the December 18 film to challenge or surpass the $360 million record set by Spider-Man: Brand New Day, though same-day competition from Dune: Part Three for IMAX screens introduces downside risk. Forecasts range widely from the low $260 millions to $450 million, explaining why the 360–400 million band leads at 36% implied probability while the 400 million+ outcome sits close behind at 28.5%. Further presales updates and marketing surges remain the key near-term catalysts.
Rules
This market will resolve according to how much "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If "Avengers: Doomsday" is not released, or there is no final data available, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.